Alcúdia vs Inter Ibiza Prediction & Preview
Tercera (Spain) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 10:15 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
TERCERA (SPAIN)
Alcúdia vs Inter Ibiza
Model pick: Alcúdia (41%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.54 – 1.32
Total goals: 2.9
Over 2.5: 53%
Both teams score: 56%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Alcúdia | Inter Ibiza |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 1.8 | 0.8 / 1.2 |
*Alcúdia shown at home, Inter Ibiza shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Alcúdia — last 5
LDWDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 46% of home games go over 2.5.
Inter Ibiza — last 5
WWLLL
On the road: clean sheet 30% of the time; 51% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Alcúdia (home) | Inter Ibiza (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 54% | 32% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 51% |
Tercera (Spain) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.49
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 45%
BTTS: 46%
Use these Tercera (Spain) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.54 vs 1.32):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Alcúdia or draw (1X) | 67% |
| Double chance — Inter Ibiza or draw (X2) | 57% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 78% / 22% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 32% / 68% |
| Alcúdia clean sheet | 27% |
| Inter Ibiza clean sheet | 21% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Alcúdia is the model's most likely outcome at
41%. Alcúdia are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (47% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Alcúdia vs Inter Ibiza — FAQ
Who will win Alcúdia vs Inter Ibiza?
Our statistical model makes Alcúdia the most likely result at 41%. Full probabilities: Alcúdia 41%, draw 26%, Inter Ibiza 33%.
Will both teams score in Alcúdia vs Inter Ibiza?
The model gives a 56% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Alcúdia vs Inter Ibiza?
Expected goals are 1.54 for Alcúdia and 1.32 for Inter Ibiza — about 2.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Alcúdia vs Inter Ibiza?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Alcúdia or draw is 67%.