Alcione Milano vs Treviso Prediction & Preview
Serie C - Group A (Italy) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SERIE C - GROUP A (ITALY)
Alcione Milano vs Treviso
Model pick: Alcione Milano (36%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.85 – 0.69
Total goals: 1.5
Over 2.5: 32%
Both teams score: 42%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Alcione Milano | Treviso |
|---|
| League position | #8 (55 pts) | #10 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.1 / 0.6 | 1.0 / 2.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 47% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.8 | 0.67 / 1.0 |
*Alcione Milano shown at home, Treviso shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Alcione Milano — last 5
DLLLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 40% of the time; 25% of home games go over 2.5.
Treviso — last 5
LLW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Alcione Milano (home) | Treviso (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 9-5-5 in 19 (1.1 / 0.6 goals per game) | 0-0-1 in 1 (1.0 / 2.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 40% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 25% | 50% |
Serie C - Group A (Italy) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.33
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 41%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Serie C - Group A (Italy) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.85 vs 0.69):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (21%) |
| Double chance — Alcione Milano or draw (1X) | 73% |
| Double chance — Treviso or draw (X2) | 63% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 64% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 46% / 54% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 7% / 93% |
| Alcione Milano clean sheet | 50% |
| Treviso clean sheet | 43% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Alcione Milano is the model's most likely outcome at
36%. Alcione Milano are backed at home, where they average 1.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (68% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Alcione Milano vs Treviso — FAQ
Who will win Alcione Milano vs Treviso?
Our statistical model makes Alcione Milano the most likely result at 36%. Full probabilities: Alcione Milano 36%, draw 36%, Treviso 28%.
Will both teams score in Alcione Milano vs Treviso?
The model gives a 42% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Alcione Milano vs Treviso?
Expected goals are 0.85 for Alcione Milano and 0.69 for Treviso — about 1.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Alcione Milano vs Treviso?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (21%). Double chance for Alcione Milano or draw is 73%.