Aldosivi vs Unión Prediction & Preview
Primera Division (Argentina) · Aug 23, 2026 · kickoff 20:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PRIMERA DIVISION (ARGENTINA)
Aldosivi vs Unión
Model pick: Unión (38%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.03 – 1.16
Total goals: 2.2
Over 2.5: 44%
Both teams score: 50%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Aldosivi | Unión |
|---|
| League position | #14 (8 pts) | #8 (21 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.4 / 0.6 | 1.6 / 1.9 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 25% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 1.2 | 1.0 / 1.6 |
*Aldosivi shown at home, Unión shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Aldosivi — last 5
DLLLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 30% of the time; 54% of home games go over 2.5.
Unión — last 5
DLWLL
On the road: clean sheet 26% of the time; 39% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Aldosivi (home) | Unión (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-7-1 in 8 (0.4 / 0.6 goals per game) | 2-2-4 in 8 (1.6 / 1.9 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 30% | 26% |
| Both teams scored | 48% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 39% |
| Top scorer | – | Cristian Tarragona (7) |
Primera Division (Argentina) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.22
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 27%
Over 2.5: 38%
BTTS: 44%
Use these Primera Division (Argentina) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.03 vs 1.16):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Aldosivi or draw (1X) | 61% |
| Double chance — Unión or draw (X2) | 68% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 71% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 64% / 36% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 18% / 82% |
| Aldosivi clean sheet | 31% |
| Unión clean sheet | 36% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Unión is the model's most likely outcome at
38%. Despite playing away, Unión edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (56% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Aldosivi vs Unión — FAQ
Who will win Aldosivi vs Unión?
Our statistical model makes Unión the most likely result at 38%. Full probabilities: Aldosivi 32%, draw 30%, Unión 38%.
Will both teams score in Aldosivi vs Unión?
The model gives a 50% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Aldosivi vs Unión?
Expected goals are 1.03 for Aldosivi and 1.16 for Unión — about 2.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Aldosivi vs Unión?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Aldosivi or draw is 61%.