Alfreton Town vs Warrington Rylands Prediction & Preview
Non League Premier (England) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NON LEAGUE PREMIER (ENGLAND)
Alfreton Town vs Warrington Rylands
Model pick: Alfreton Town (68%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.74 – 0.32
Total goals: 2.1
Over 2.5: 42%
Both teams score: 38%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Alfreton Town | Warrington Rylands |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.2 | 0.8 / 1.4 |
*Alfreton Town shown at home, Warrington Rylands shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Alfreton Town — last 5
LWWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 28% of the time; 47% of home games go over 2.5.
Warrington Rylands — last 5
WLLWL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 25% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Alfreton Town (home) | Warrington Rylands (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 28% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 52% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 25% |
Non League Premier (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.88
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 20%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Non League Premier (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.74 vs 0.32):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (22%) |
| Double chance — Alfreton Town or draw (1X) | 94% |
| Double chance — Warrington Rylands or draw (X2) | 27% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 79% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 61% / 39% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 15% / 85% |
| Alfreton Town clean sheet | 73% |
| Warrington Rylands clean sheet | 18% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Alfreton Town is the model's most likely outcome at
68%. Alfreton Town are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (58% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Alfreton Town vs Warrington Rylands — FAQ
Who will win Alfreton Town vs Warrington Rylands?
Our statistical model makes Alfreton Town the most likely result at 68%. Full probabilities: Alfreton Town 68%, draw 24%, Warrington Rylands 8%.
Will both teams score in Alfreton Town vs Warrington Rylands?
The model gives a 38% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Alfreton Town vs Warrington Rylands?
Expected goals are 1.74 for Alfreton Town and 0.32 for Warrington Rylands — about 2.1 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Alfreton Town vs Warrington Rylands?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (22%). Double chance for Alfreton Town or draw is 94%.