Allerheiligen vs Tillmitsch Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Austria) · Sep 04, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (AUSTRIA)
Allerheiligen vs Tillmitsch
Model pick: Draw (41%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.52 – 0.66
Total goals: 1.2
Over 2.5: 25%
Both teams score: 36%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Allerheiligen | Tillmitsch |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 2.25 | 1.4 / 1.4 |
*Allerheiligen shown at home, Tillmitsch shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Allerheiligen — last 5
LDLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Tillmitsch — last 5
LLWWD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Allerheiligen (home) | Tillmitsch (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 100% |
Regionalliga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.22
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 56%
Use these Regionalliga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.52 vs 0.66):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (31%) |
| Double chance — Allerheiligen or draw (1X) | 67% |
| Double chance — Tillmitsch or draw (X2) | 76% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 58% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 33% / 67% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 3% / 97% |
| Allerheiligen clean sheet | 52% |
| Tillmitsch clean sheet | 59% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
41%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (75% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Allerheiligen vs Tillmitsch — FAQ
Who will win Allerheiligen vs Tillmitsch?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 41%. Full probabilities: Allerheiligen 26%, draw 41%, Tillmitsch 33%.
Will both teams score in Allerheiligen vs Tillmitsch?
The model gives a 36% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Allerheiligen vs Tillmitsch?
Expected goals are 0.52 for Allerheiligen and 0.66 for Tillmitsch — about 1.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Allerheiligen vs Tillmitsch?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (31%). Double chance for Allerheiligen or draw is 67%.