Altona vs Teutonia Ottensen Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 13:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Altona vs Teutonia Ottensen
Model pick: Teutonia Ottensen (82%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.53 – 3.04
Total goals: 3.6
Over 2.5: 62%
Both teams score: 47%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Altona | Teutonia Ottensen |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.75 / 2.5 | 1.5 / 1.0 |
*Altona shown at home, Teutonia Ottensen shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Altona — last 5
DWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Teutonia Ottensen — last 5
WL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Altona (home) | Teutonia Ottensen (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 100% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.43
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 62%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.53 vs 3.04):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-3 (13%) |
| Double chance — Altona or draw (1X) | 13% |
| Double chance — Teutonia Ottensen or draw (X2) | 96% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 90% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 87% / 13% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 48% / 52% |
| Altona clean sheet | 5% |
| Teutonia Ottensen clean sheet | 59% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Teutonia Ottensen is the model's most likely outcome at
82%. Despite playing away, Teutonia Ottensen edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.6, this shapes as an open game (62% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Altona vs Teutonia Ottensen — FAQ
Who will win Altona vs Teutonia Ottensen?
Our statistical model makes Teutonia Ottensen the most likely result at 82%. Full probabilities: Altona 6%, draw 13%, Teutonia Ottensen 82%.
Will both teams score in Altona vs Teutonia Ottensen?
The model gives a 47% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Altona vs Teutonia Ottensen?
Expected goals are 0.53 for Altona and 3.04 for Teutonia Ottensen — about 3.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Altona vs Teutonia Ottensen?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-3 (13%). Double chance for Altona or draw is 13%.