Alzenau vs Fernwald Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 08, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Alzenau vs Fernwald
Model pick: Fernwald (78%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.23 – 2.13
Total goals: 2.4
Over 2.5: 46%
Both teams score: 35%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Alzenau | Fernwald |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 4.0 / 2.25 | 2.0 / 0.0 |
*Alzenau shown at home, Fernwald shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Alzenau — last 5
DWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Fernwald — last 5
W
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Alzenau (home) | Fernwald (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 0% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.32
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 39%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 59%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.23 vs 2.13):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-2 (21%) |
| Double chance — Alzenau or draw (1X) | 18% |
| Double chance — Fernwald or draw (X2) | 97% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 85% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 68% / 32% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 21% / 79% |
| Alzenau clean sheet | 12% |
| Fernwald clean sheet | 79% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Fernwald is the model's most likely outcome at
78%. Despite playing away, Fernwald edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (54% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Alzenau vs Fernwald — FAQ
Who will win Alzenau vs Fernwald?
Our statistical model makes Fernwald the most likely result at 78%. Full probabilities: Alzenau 5%, draw 18%, Fernwald 78%.
Will both teams score in Alzenau vs Fernwald?
The model gives a 35% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Alzenau vs Fernwald?
Expected goals are 0.23 for Alzenau and 2.13 for Fernwald — about 2.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Alzenau vs Fernwald?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-2 (21%). Double chance for Alzenau or draw is 18%.