Amarante vs Benfica II Prediction & Preview
Division2 (Portugal) · Aug 30, 2026 · kickoff 10:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
DIVISION2 (PORTUGAL)
Amarante vs Benfica II
Model pick: Benfica II (48%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.4 – 0.99
Total goals: 1.4
Over 2.5: 29%
Both teams score: 37%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Amarante | Benfica II |
|---|
| League position | #16 (1 pts) | #5 (7 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.0 / 1.0 | 2.0 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 100% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.4 / 1.4 | 1.8 / 0.4 |
*Amarante shown at home, Benfica II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Amarante — last 5
LLLLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Benfica II — last 5
WWWWD
On the road: clean sheet 18% of the time; 54% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Amarante (home) | Benfica II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-0-1 in 1 (0.0 / 1.0 goals per game) | 1-0-0 in 1 (2.0 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 18% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 54% |
| Top scorer | – | Leonardo Vonic (4) |
Division2 (Portugal) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.47
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 47%
BTTS: 52%
Use these Division2 (Portugal) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.4 vs 0.99):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (25%) |
| Double chance — Amarante or draw (1X) | 50% |
| Double chance — Benfica II or draw (X2) | 85% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 64% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 40% / 60% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 5% / 95% |
| Amarante clean sheet | 37% |
| Benfica II clean sheet | 67% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Benfica II is the model's most likely outcome at
48%. Despite playing away, Benfica II edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (71% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Amarante vs Benfica II — FAQ
Who will win Amarante vs Benfica II?
Our statistical model makes Benfica II the most likely result at 48%. Full probabilities: Amarante 17%, draw 36%, Benfica II 48%.
Will both teams score in Amarante vs Benfica II?
The model gives a 37% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Amarante vs Benfica II?
Expected goals are 0.4 for Amarante and 0.99 for Benfica II — about 1.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Amarante vs Benfica II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (25%). Double chance for Amarante or draw is 50%.