Amed vs Trabzonspor Prediction & Preview
Super Lig (Turkey) · Aug 30, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LIG (TURKEY)
Amed vs Trabzonspor
Model pick: Trabzonspor (62%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.8 – 2.05
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 53%
Both teams score: 51%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Amed | Trabzonspor |
|---|
| League position | #9 (3 pts) | #4 (4 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 3.0 / 0.0 | 1.0 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 1.2 | 1.0 / 1.0 |
*Amed shown at home, Trabzonspor shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Amed — last 5
DDWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 45% of the time; 52% of home games go over 2.5.
Trabzonspor — last 5
WLDLW
On the road: clean sheet 27% of the time; 55% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Amed (home) | Trabzonspor (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-0 in 1 (3.0 / 0.0 goals per game) | 0-1-0 in 1 (1.0 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 45% | 27% |
| Both teams scored | 48% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 55% |
| Top scorer | Mbaye Diagne (22) | Ernest Muci (1) |
Super Lig (Turkey) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.81
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 54%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Super Lig (Turkey) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.8 vs 2.05):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-2 (12%) |
| Double chance — Amed or draw (1X) | 34% |
| Double chance — Trabzonspor or draw (X2) | 86% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 80% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 78% / 22% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 32% / 68% |
| Amed clean sheet | 13% |
| Trabzonspor clean sheet | 45% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Trabzonspor is the model's most likely outcome at
62%. Despite playing away, Trabzonspor edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (47% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Amed vs Trabzonspor — FAQ
Who will win Amed vs Trabzonspor?
Our statistical model makes Trabzonspor the most likely result at 62%. Full probabilities: Amed 16%, draw 22%, Trabzonspor 62%.
Will both teams score in Amed vs Trabzonspor?
The model gives a 51% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Amed vs Trabzonspor?
Expected goals are 0.8 for Amed and 2.05 for Trabzonspor — about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Amed vs Trabzonspor?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-2 (12%). Double chance for Amed or draw is 34%.