Ammerthal vs Gebenbach Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Ammerthal vs Gebenbach
Model pick: Gebenbach (78%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.37 – 2.4
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 52%
Both teams score: 41%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Ammerthal | Gebenbach |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.2 | 1.6 / 0.6 |
*Ammerthal shown at home, Gebenbach shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Ammerthal — last 5
WDLWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 75% of home games go over 2.5.
Gebenbach — last 5
WWWLW
On the road: clean sheet 75% of the time; 25% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Ammerthal (home) | Gebenbach (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 75% |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 25% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.43
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 62%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.37 vs 2.4):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-2 (18%) |
| Double chance — Ammerthal or draw (1X) | 17% |
| Double chance — Gebenbach or draw (X2) | 96% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 87% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 76% / 24% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 30% / 70% |
| Ammerthal clean sheet | 9% |
| Gebenbach clean sheet | 69% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Gebenbach is the model's most likely outcome at
78%. Despite playing away, Gebenbach edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (48% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Ammerthal vs Gebenbach — FAQ
Who will win Ammerthal vs Gebenbach?
Our statistical model makes Gebenbach the most likely result at 78%. Full probabilities: Ammerthal 6%, draw 16%, Gebenbach 78%.
Will both teams score in Ammerthal vs Gebenbach?
The model gives a 41% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Ammerthal vs Gebenbach?
Expected goals are 0.37 for Ammerthal and 2.4 for Gebenbach — about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Ammerthal vs Gebenbach?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-2 (18%). Double chance for Ammerthal or draw is 17%.