Amstetten vs Admira Prediction & Preview
1-Liga (Austria) · Aug 09, 2026 · kickoff 08:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
1-LIGA (AUSTRIA)
Amstetten vs Admira
Model pick: Amstetten (37%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.21 – 1.45
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 50%
Both teams score: 56%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Amstetten | Admira |
|---|
| League position | #9 (1 pts) | #10 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 0.8 | 1.2 / 1.6 |
*Amstetten shown at home, Admira shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Amstetten — last 5
WDWDD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 29% of the time; 59% of home games go over 2.5.
Admira — last 5
WLDLL
On the road: clean sheet 22% of the time; 56% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Amstetten (home) | Admira (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 29% | 22% |
| Both teams scored | 59% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 56% |
1-Liga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.98
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 56%
Use these 1-Liga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.21 vs 1.45):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Amstetten or draw (1X) | 57% |
| Double chance — Admira or draw (X2) | 68% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 74% / 26% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 28% / 72% |
| Amstetten clean sheet | 23% |
| Admira clean sheet | 30% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Amstetten is the model's most likely outcome at
37%. Amstetten are backed at home, where they average 1.6 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (50% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Amstetten vs Admira — FAQ
Who will win Amstetten vs Admira?
Our statistical model makes Amstetten the most likely result at 37%. Full probabilities: Amstetten 37%, draw 26%, Admira 37%.
Will both teams score in Amstetten vs Admira?
The model gives a 56% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Amstetten vs Admira?
Expected goals are 1.21 for Amstetten and 1.45 for Admira — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Amstetten vs Admira?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Amstetten or draw is 57%.