Andijan vs Buxoro Prediction & Preview
Oliy Liga (Uzbekistan) · Jul 27, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OLIY LIGA (UZBEKISTAN)
Andijan vs Buxoro
Model pick: Andijan (51%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.69 – 0.96
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 50%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Andijan | Buxoro |
|---|
| League position | #9 (17 pts) | #3 (23 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.7 / 1.0 | 1.2 / 1.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 50% | 33% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 1.8 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
*Andijan shown at home, Buxoro shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Andijan — last 5
WWDLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 48% of home games go over 2.5.
Buxoro — last 5
DLWLW
On the road: clean sheet 16% of the time; 49% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Andijan (home) | Buxoro (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 3-0-3 in 6 (1.7 / 1.0 goals per game) | 2-1-3 in 6 (1.2 / 1.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 16% |
| Both teams scored | 52% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 49% |
Oliy Liga (Uzbekistan) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.46
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 28%
Over 2.5: 46%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Oliy Liga (Uzbekistan) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.69 vs 0.96):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (12%) |
| Double chance — Andijan or draw (1X) | 79% |
| Double chance — Buxoro or draw (X2) | 45% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 74% / 26% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 27% / 73% |
| Andijan clean sheet | 38% |
| Buxoro clean sheet | 18% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Andijan is the model's most likely outcome at
51%. Andijan are backed at home, where they average 1.2 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (50% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Andijan vs Buxoro — FAQ
Who will win Andijan vs Buxoro?
Our statistical model makes Andijan the most likely result at 51%. Full probabilities: Andijan 51%, draw 26%, Buxoro 23%.
Will both teams score in Andijan vs Buxoro?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Andijan vs Buxoro?
Expected goals are 1.69 for Andijan and 0.96 for Buxoro — about 2.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Andijan vs Buxoro?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (12%). Double chance for Andijan or draw is 79%.