Andijan vs Kokand-1912 Prediction & Preview
Oliy Liga (Uzbekistan) · Sep 10, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OLIY LIGA (UZBEKISTAN)
Andijan vs Kokand-1912
Model pick: Andijan (46%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.43 – 0.93
Total goals: 2.4
Over 2.5: 46%
Both teams score: 50%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Andijan | Kokand-1912 |
|---|
| League position | #8 (27 pts) | #14 (19 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.3 / 0.9 | 0.8 / 1.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 50% | 10% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.4 / 1.4 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
*Andijan shown at home, Kokand-1912 shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Andijan — last 5
LLWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 35% of the time; 47% of home games go over 2.5.
Kokand-1912 — last 5
LDWWD
On the road: clean sheet 20% of the time; 47% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Andijan (home) | Kokand-1912 (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 5-1-4 in 10 (1.3 / 0.9 goals per game) | 1-4-5 in 10 (0.8 / 1.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 35% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 47% |
Oliy Liga (Uzbekistan) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.46
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 28%
Over 2.5: 46%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Oliy Liga (Uzbekistan) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.43 vs 0.93):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (14%) |
| Double chance — Andijan or draw (1X) | 76% |
| Double chance — Kokand-1912 or draw (X2) | 51% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 68% / 32% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 21% / 79% |
| Andijan clean sheet | 39% |
| Kokand-1912 clean sheet | 24% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Andijan is the model's most likely outcome at
46%. Andijan are backed at home, where they average 1.2 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (54% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Andijan vs Kokand-1912 — FAQ
Who will win Andijan vs Kokand-1912?
Our statistical model makes Andijan the most likely result at 46%. Full probabilities: Andijan 46%, draw 28%, Kokand-1912 26%.
Will both teams score in Andijan vs Kokand-1912?
The model gives a 50% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Andijan vs Kokand-1912?
Expected goals are 1.43 for Andijan and 0.93 for Kokand-1912 — about 2.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Andijan vs Kokand-1912?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (14%). Double chance for Andijan or draw is 76%.