Andorra CF vs Binéfar Prediction & Preview
Tercera (Spain) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
TERCERA (SPAIN)
Andorra CF vs Binéfar
Model pick: Binéfar (38%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.25 – 1.33
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 49%
Both teams score: 53%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Andorra CF | Binéfar |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 1.4 | 2.2 / 1.6 |
*Andorra CF shown at home, Binéfar shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Andorra CF — last 5
LWWLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 24% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Binéfar — last 5
LLWWL
On the road: clean sheet 30% of the time; 48% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Andorra CF (home) | Binéfar (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 24% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 62% | 49% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 48% |
Tercera (Spain) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.49
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 45%
BTTS: 46%
Use these Tercera (Spain) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.25 vs 1.33):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Andorra CF or draw (1X) | 61% |
| Double chance — Binéfar or draw (X2) | 65% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 73% / 27% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 26% / 74% |
| Andorra CF clean sheet | 26% |
| Binéfar clean sheet | 29% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Binéfar is the model's most likely outcome at
38%. Despite playing away, Binéfar edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (51% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Andorra CF vs Binéfar — FAQ
Who will win Andorra CF vs Binéfar?
Our statistical model makes Binéfar the most likely result at 38%. Full probabilities: Andorra CF 35%, draw 28%, Binéfar 38%.
Will both teams score in Andorra CF vs Binéfar?
The model gives a 53% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Andorra CF vs Binéfar?
Expected goals are 1.25 for Andorra CF and 1.33 for Binéfar — about 2.6 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Andorra CF vs Binéfar?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Andorra CF or draw is 61%.