Ankara Keçiörengücü vs Pendikspor Prediction & Preview
Lig A (Turkey) · Aug 16, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIG A (TURKEY)
Ankara Keçiörengücü vs Pendikspor
Model pick: Ankara Keçiörengücü (42%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.41 – 1.12
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 49%
Both teams score: 55%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Ankara Keçiörengücü | Pendikspor |
|---|
| League position | #14 (0 pts) | #8 (1 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 1.6 | 1.4 / 1.2 |
*Ankara Keçiörengücü shown at home, Pendikspor shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Ankara Keçiörengücü — last 5
LWWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 32% of the time; 49% of home games go over 2.5.
Pendikspor — last 5
WDLWD
On the road: clean sheet 23% of the time; 49% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Ankara Keçiörengücü (home) | Pendikspor (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 32% | 23% |
| Both teams scored | 52% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 49% |
| Top scorer | Mame Diouf (15) | Jonson Clarke-Harris (6) |
Lig A (Turkey) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.67
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 50%
Use these Lig A (Turkey) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.41 vs 1.12):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Ankara Keçiörengücü or draw (1X) | 70% |
| Double chance — Pendikspor or draw (X2) | 56% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 72% / 28% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 25% / 75% |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü clean sheet | 33% |
| Pendikspor clean sheet | 24% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Ankara Keçiörengücü is the model's most likely outcome at
42%. Ankara Keçiörengücü are backed at home, where they average 1.6 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (51% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Ankara Keçiörengücü vs Pendikspor — FAQ
Who will win Ankara Keçiörengücü vs Pendikspor?
Our statistical model makes Ankara Keçiörengücü the most likely result at 42%. Full probabilities: Ankara Keçiörengücü 42%, draw 28%, Pendikspor 31%.
Will both teams score in Ankara Keçiörengücü vs Pendikspor?
The model gives a 55% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Ankara Keçiörengücü vs Pendikspor?
Expected goals are 1.41 for Ankara Keçiörengücü and 1.12 for Pendikspor — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Ankara Keçiörengücü vs Pendikspor?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Ankara Keçiörengücü or draw is 70%.