Annecy vs Metz Prediction & Preview
Ligue 2 (France) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGUE 2 (FRANCE)
Annecy vs Metz
Model pick: Metz (44%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.08 – 1.46
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 49%
Both teams score: 53%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Annecy | Metz |
|---|
| League position | #3 (6 pts) | #5 (5 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.0 / 0.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.4 | 1.4 / 1.2 |
*Annecy shown at home, Metz shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Annecy — last 5
LDDWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 41% of the time; 42% of home games go over 2.5.
Metz — last 5
WLWDD
On the road: clean sheet 27% of the time; 49% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Annecy (home) | Metz (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-0 in 1 (2.0 / 0.0 goals per game) | 0-1-0 in 1 (0.0 / 0.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 41% | 27% |
| Both teams scored | 47% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | 49% |
| Top scorer | Antoine Larose (7) | – |
Ligue 2 (France) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.43
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 29%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 44%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Ligue 2 (France) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.08 vs 1.46):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Annecy or draw (1X) | 54% |
| Double chance — Metz or draw (X2) | 72% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 72% / 28% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 25% / 75% |
| Annecy clean sheet | 23% |
| Metz clean sheet | 34% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Metz is the model's most likely outcome at
44%. Despite playing away, Metz edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (51% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Annecy vs Metz — FAQ
Who will win Annecy vs Metz?
Our statistical model makes Metz the most likely result at 44%. Full probabilities: Annecy 29%, draw 27%, Metz 44%.
Will both teams score in Annecy vs Metz?
The model gives a 53% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Annecy vs Metz?
Expected goals are 1.08 for Annecy and 1.46 for Metz — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Annecy vs Metz?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Annecy or draw is 54%.