Annecy vs Rodez Prediction & Preview
Ligue 2 (France) · Aug 14, 2026 · kickoff 18:45 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGUE 2 (FRANCE)
Annecy vs Rodez
Model pick: Annecy (43%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.49 – 1.25
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 52%
Both teams score: 57%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Annecy | Rodez |
|---|
| League position | #5 (3 pts) | #3 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.8 | 2.4 / 1.6 |
*Annecy shown at home, Rodez shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Annecy — last 5
LLDDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 40% of the time; 43% of home games go over 2.5.
Rodez — last 5
WWDLW
On the road: clean sheet 21% of the time; 44% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Annecy (home) | Rodez (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 40% | 21% |
| Both teams scored | 47% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 44% |
| Top scorer | Antoine Larose (7) | Ibrahima Balde (12) |
Ligue 2 (France) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.43
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 44%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Ligue 2 (France) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.49 vs 1.25):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Annecy or draw (1X) | 68% |
| Double chance — Rodez or draw (X2) | 57% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 76% / 24% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 29% / 71% |
| Annecy clean sheet | 29% |
| Rodez clean sheet | 23% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Annecy is the model's most likely outcome at
43%. Annecy are backed at home, where they average 1.2 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (48% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Annecy vs Rodez — FAQ
Who will win Annecy vs Rodez?
Our statistical model makes Annecy the most likely result at 43%. Full probabilities: Annecy 43%, draw 27%, Rodez 30%.
Will both teams score in Annecy vs Rodez?
The model gives a 57% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Annecy vs Rodez?
Expected goals are 1.49 for Annecy and 1.25 for Rodez — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Annecy vs Rodez?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Annecy or draw is 68%.