Ansan Greeners vs Daegu Prediction & Preview
K League 2 (South Korea) · Aug 28, 2026 · kickoff 10:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
K LEAGUE 2 (SOUTH KOREA)
Ansan Greeners vs Daegu
Model pick: Daegu (64%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.2 – 2.42
Total goals: 3.6
Over 2.5: 62%
Both teams score: 57%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Ansan Greeners | Daegu |
|---|
| League position | #15 (19 pts) | #4 (39 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.1 / 2.0 | 1.9 / 1.6 |
| Win rate this season* | 15% | 40% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.6 | 1.2 / 1.6 |
*Ansan Greeners shown at home, Daegu shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Ansan Greeners — last 5
WDDLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 21% of the time; 45% of home games go over 2.5.
Daegu — last 5
LLWWD
On the road: clean sheet 19% of the time; 55% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Ansan Greeners (home) | Daegu (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 2-2-9 in 13 (1.1 / 2.0 goals per game) | 4-4-2 in 10 (1.9 / 1.6 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 21% | 19% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 55% |
K League 2 (South Korea) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.51
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 46%
BTTS: 51%
Use these K League 2 (South Korea) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.2 vs 2.42):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-2 (9%) |
| Double chance — Ansan Greeners or draw (1X) | 36% |
| Double chance — Daegu or draw (X2) | 83% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 82% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 88% / 12% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 49% / 51% |
| Ansan Greeners clean sheet | 9% |
| Daegu clean sheet | 30% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Daegu is the model's most likely outcome at
64%. Despite playing away, Daegu edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.6, this shapes as an open game (62% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Ansan Greeners vs Daegu — FAQ
Who will win Ansan Greeners vs Daegu?
Our statistical model makes Daegu the most likely result at 64%. Full probabilities: Ansan Greeners 16%, draw 20%, Daegu 64%.
Will both teams score in Ansan Greeners vs Daegu?
The model gives a 57% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Ansan Greeners vs Daegu?
Expected goals are 1.2 for Ansan Greeners and 2.42 for Daegu — about 3.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Ansan Greeners vs Daegu?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-2 (9%). Double chance for Ansan Greeners or draw is 36%.