Ansan Greeners vs Gimhae City Prediction & Preview
K League 2 (South Korea) · Aug 02, 2026 · kickoff 10:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
K LEAGUE 2 (SOUTH KOREA)
Ansan Greeners vs Gimhae City
Model pick: Gimhae City (39%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.1 – 1.02
Total goals: 2.1
Over 2.5: 42%
Both teams score: 53%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Ansan Greeners | Gimhae City |
|---|
| League position | #15 (14 pts) | #17 (10 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 2.0 | 0.9 / 1.6 |
| Win rate this season* | 18% | 22% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 2.2 | 2.2 / 1.0 |
*Ansan Greeners shown at home, Gimhae City shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Ansan Greeners — last 5
LWLLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 21% of the time; 44% of home games go over 2.5.
Gimhae City — last 5
WLWWD
On the road: clean sheet 38% of the time; 45% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Ansan Greeners (home) | Gimhae City (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 2-1-8 in 11 (1.0 / 2.0 goals per game) | 2-3-4 in 9 (0.9 / 1.6 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 21% | 38% |
| Both teams scored | 49% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 45% |
K League 2 (South Korea) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.51
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 46%
BTTS: 51%
Use these K League 2 (South Korea) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.1 vs 1.02):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Ansan Greeners or draw (1X) | 67% |
| Double chance — Gimhae City or draw (X2) | 63% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 70% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 63% / 37% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 17% / 83% |
| Ansan Greeners clean sheet | 36% |
| Gimhae City clean sheet | 33% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Gimhae City is the model's most likely outcome at
39%. Despite playing away, Gimhae City edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (58% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Ansan Greeners vs Gimhae City — FAQ
Who will win Ansan Greeners vs Gimhae City?
Our statistical model makes Gimhae City the most likely result at 39%. Full probabilities: Ansan Greeners 33%, draw 28%, Gimhae City 39%.
Will both teams score in Ansan Greeners vs Gimhae City?
The model gives a 53% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Ansan Greeners vs Gimhae City?
Expected goals are 1.1 for Ansan Greeners and 1.02 for Gimhae City — about 2.1 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Ansan Greeners vs Gimhae City?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Ansan Greeners or draw is 67%.