Ansbach vs Schwaben Augsburg Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Germany) · Aug 28, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (GERMANY)
Ansbach vs Schwaben Augsburg
Model pick: Schwaben Augsburg (69%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.37 – 1.86
Total goals: 2.2
Over 2.5: 44%
Both teams score: 40%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Ansbach | Schwaben Augsburg |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.4 / 3.4 | 1.0 / 1.4 |
*Ansbach shown at home, Schwaben Augsburg shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Ansbach — last 5
LLLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Schwaben Augsburg — last 5
DLDWL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Ansbach (home) | Schwaben Augsburg (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 50% |
Regionalliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.24
Home wins: 36%
Draws: 29%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 65%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Regionalliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.37 vs 1.86):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (20%) |
| Double chance — Ansbach or draw (1X) | 26% |
| Double chance — Schwaben Augsburg or draw (X2) | 93% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 80% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 65% / 35% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 19% / 81% |
| Ansbach clean sheet | 16% |
| Schwaben Augsburg clean sheet | 69% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Schwaben Augsburg is the model's most likely outcome at
69%. Despite playing away, Schwaben Augsburg edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (56% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Ansbach vs Schwaben Augsburg — FAQ
Who will win Ansbach vs Schwaben Augsburg?
Our statistical model makes Schwaben Augsburg the most likely result at 69%. Full probabilities: Ansbach 9%, draw 22%, Schwaben Augsburg 69%.
Will both teams score in Ansbach vs Schwaben Augsburg?
The model gives a 40% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Ansbach vs Schwaben Augsburg?
Expected goals are 0.37 for Ansbach and 1.86 for Schwaben Augsburg — about 2.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Ansbach vs Schwaben Augsburg?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (20%). Double chance for Ansbach or draw is 26%.