Antequera vs Ibiza Prediction & Preview
Segunda B (Spain) · Aug 30, 2026 · kickoff 17:15 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SEGUNDA B (SPAIN)
Antequera vs Ibiza
Model pick: Antequera (38%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.25 – 1.15
Total goals: 2.4
Over 2.5: 47%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Antequera | Ibiza |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.0 | 2.8 / 1.0 |
*Antequera shown at home, Ibiza shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Antequera — last 5
LWWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 38% of the time; 46% of home games go over 2.5.
Ibiza — last 5
WLWWW
On the road: clean sheet 41% of the time; 36% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Antequera (home) | Ibiza (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 38% | 41% |
| Both teams scored | 47% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 36% |
Segunda B (Spain) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.26
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 26%
Over 2.5: 40%
BTTS: 46%
Use these Segunda B (Spain) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.25 vs 1.15):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Antequera or draw (1X) | 66% |
| Double chance — Ibiza or draw (X2) | 61% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 72% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 69% / 31% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 22% / 78% |
| Antequera clean sheet | 32% |
| Ibiza clean sheet | 29% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Antequera is the model's most likely outcome at
38%. Antequera are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (53% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Antequera vs Ibiza — FAQ
Who will win Antequera vs Ibiza?
Our statistical model makes Antequera the most likely result at 38%. Full probabilities: Antequera 38%, draw 28%, Ibiza 34%.
Will both teams score in Antequera vs Ibiza?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Antequera vs Ibiza?
Expected goals are 1.25 for Antequera and 1.15 for Ibiza — about 2.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Antequera vs Ibiza?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Antequera or draw is 66%.