Antwerp vs Sint-Truiden Prediction & Preview
Pro League (Belgium) · Aug 30, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PRO LEAGUE (BELGIUM)
Antwerp vs Sint-Truiden
Model pick: Antwerp (40%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.48 – 1.05
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 49%
Both teams score: 56%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Antwerp | Sint-Truiden |
|---|
| League position | #4 (7 pts) | #12 (2 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 3.0 / 2.5 | 3.0 / 3.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 50% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.2 / 1.6 | 1.0 / 1.6 |
*Antwerp shown at home, Sint-Truiden shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Antwerp — last 5
DLWWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 56% of home games go over 2.5.
Sint-Truiden — last 5
LLDDW
On the road: clean sheet 21% of the time; 51% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Antwerp (home) | Sint-Truiden (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-1-0 in 2 (3.0 / 2.5 goals per game) | 0-1-0 in 1 (3.0 / 3.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 21% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 51% |
| Top scorer | Christopher Scott (5) | Ryotaro Ito (8) |
Pro League (Belgium) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.89
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 56%
Use these Pro League (Belgium) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.48 vs 1.05):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Antwerp or draw (1X) | 73% |
| Double chance — Sint-Truiden or draw (X2) | 53% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 72% / 28% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 25% / 75% |
| Antwerp clean sheet | 35% |
| Sint-Truiden clean sheet | 23% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Antwerp is the model's most likely outcome at
40%. Antwerp are backed at home, where they average 1.7 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (51% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Antwerp vs Sint-Truiden — FAQ
Who will win Antwerp vs Sint-Truiden?
Our statistical model makes Antwerp the most likely result at 40%. Full probabilities: Antwerp 40%, draw 27%, Sint-Truiden 33%.
Will both teams score in Antwerp vs Sint-Truiden?
The model gives a 56% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Antwerp vs Sint-Truiden?
Expected goals are 1.48 for Antwerp and 1.05 for Sint-Truiden — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Antwerp vs Sint-Truiden?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Antwerp or draw is 73%.