Anyang vs Daejeon Hana Citizen Prediction & Preview
K-League (South Korea) · Aug 08, 2026 · kickoff 10:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
K-LEAGUE (SOUTH KOREA)
Anyang vs Daejeon Hana Citizen
Model pick: Daejeon Hana Citizen (38%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.27 – 1.33
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 50%
Both teams score: 53%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Anyang | Daejeon Hana Citizen |
|---|
| League position | #5 (30 pts) | #9 (23 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.2 / 1.3 | 1.6 / 0.9 |
| Win rate this season* | 20% | 40% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 1.6 | 1.2 / 1.0 |
*Anyang shown at home, Daejeon Hana Citizen shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Anyang — last 5
DWWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 31% of the time; 48% of home games go over 2.5.
Daejeon Hana Citizen — last 5
DDDLW
On the road: clean sheet 20% of the time; 52% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Anyang (home) | Daejeon Hana Citizen (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 2-5-3 in 10 (1.2 / 1.3 goals per game) | 4-3-3 in 10 (1.6 / 0.9 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 31% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 61% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 52% |
| Top scorer | Moises Airton (3) | Jae-Hee Jeong (2) |
K-League (South Korea) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.61
Home wins: 39%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 55%
Use these K-League (South Korea) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.27 vs 1.33):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Anyang or draw (1X) | 62% |
| Double chance — Daejeon Hana Citizen or draw (X2) | 65% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 73% / 27% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 26% / 74% |
| Anyang clean sheet | 26% |
| Daejeon Hana Citizen clean sheet | 28% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Daejeon Hana Citizen is the model's most likely outcome at
38%. Despite playing away, Daejeon Hana Citizen edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (50% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Anyang vs Daejeon Hana Citizen — FAQ
Who will win Anyang vs Daejeon Hana Citizen?
Our statistical model makes Daejeon Hana Citizen the most likely result at 38%. Full probabilities: Anyang 34%, draw 28%, Daejeon Hana Citizen 38%.
Will both teams score in Anyang vs Daejeon Hana Citizen?
The model gives a 53% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Anyang vs Daejeon Hana Citizen?
Expected goals are 1.27 for Anyang and 1.33 for Daejeon Hana Citizen — about 2.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Anyang vs Daejeon Hana Citizen?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Anyang or draw is 62%.