Anyang vs Gangwon Prediction & Preview
K-League (South Korea) · Jul 26, 2026 · kickoff 10:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
K-LEAGUE (SOUTH KOREA)
Anyang vs Gangwon
Model pick: Anyang (39%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.3 – 1.14
Total goals: 2.4
Over 2.5: 48%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Anyang | Gangwon |
|---|
| League position | #6 (27 pts) | #2 (32 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.1 / 1.3 | 1.0 / 0.6 |
| Win rate this season* | 11% | 40% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 1.6 | 1.2 / 0.8 |
*Anyang shown at home, Gangwon shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Anyang — last 5
DLWDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 31% of the time; 48% of home games go over 2.5.
Gangwon — last 5
WDLWD
On the road: clean sheet 20% of the time; 55% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Anyang (home) | Gangwon (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-5-3 in 9 (1.1 / 1.3 goals per game) | 4-4-2 in 10 (1.0 / 0.6 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 31% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 54% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 55% |
| Top scorer | Moises Airton (3) | Jae-Hyeon Mo (2) |
K-League (South Korea) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.61
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 55%
Use these K-League (South Korea) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.3 vs 1.14):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Anyang or draw (1X) | 67% |
| Double chance — Gangwon or draw (X2) | 60% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 70% / 30% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 23% / 77% |
| Anyang clean sheet | 32% |
| Gangwon clean sheet | 27% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Anyang is the model's most likely outcome at
39%. Anyang are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (52% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
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❓ Anyang vs Gangwon — FAQ
Who will win Anyang vs Gangwon?
Our statistical model makes Anyang the most likely result at 39%. Full probabilities: Anyang 39%, draw 28%, Gangwon 33%.
Will both teams score in Anyang vs Gangwon?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Anyang vs Gangwon?
Expected goals are 1.3 for Anyang and 1.14 for Gangwon — about 2.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Anyang vs Gangwon?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Anyang or draw is 67%.