Anyang vs Incheon United Prediction & Preview
K-League (South Korea) · Aug 26, 2026 · kickoff 10:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
K-LEAGUE (SOUTH KOREA)
Anyang vs Incheon United
Model pick: Anyang (40%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.28 – 1.04
Total goals: 2.3
Over 2.5: 46%
Both teams score: 51%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Anyang | Incheon United |
|---|
| League position | #7 (30 pts) | #8 (30 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.2 / 1.4 | 1.6 / 1.2 |
| Win rate this season* | 18% | 40% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.8 | 1.4 / 1.4 |
*Anyang shown at home, Incheon United shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Anyang — last 5
WLLLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 31% of the time; 49% of home games go over 2.5.
Incheon United — last 5
WDLDD
On the road: clean sheet 29% of the time; 51% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Anyang (home) | Incheon United (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 2-5-4 in 11 (1.2 / 1.4 goals per game) | 4-4-2 in 10 (1.6 / 1.2 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 31% | 29% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 51% |
| Top scorer | Moises Airton (3) | – |
K-League (South Korea) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.61
Home wins: 39%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 55%
Use these K-League (South Korea) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.28 vs 1.04):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Anyang or draw (1X) | 70% |
| Double chance — Incheon United or draw (X2) | 58% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 72% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 67% / 33% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 20% / 80% |
| Anyang clean sheet | 35% |
| Incheon United clean sheet | 28% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Anyang is the model's most likely outcome at
40%. Anyang are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (54% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Anyang vs Incheon United — FAQ
Who will win Anyang vs Incheon United?
Our statistical model makes Anyang the most likely result at 40%. Full probabilities: Anyang 40%, draw 29%, Incheon United 31%.
Will both teams score in Anyang vs Incheon United?
The model gives a 51% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Anyang vs Incheon United?
Expected goals are 1.28 for Anyang and 1.04 for Incheon United — about 2.3 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Anyang vs Incheon United?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Anyang or draw is 70%.