Apollon vs Brann Prediction & Preview
Europa Conference League (Europe) · Aug 11, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE (EUROPE)
Apollon vs Brann
Model pick: Apollon (70%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.41 – 0.04
Total goals: 1.4
Over 2.5: 30%
Both teams score: 17%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Apollon | Brann |
|---|
| League position | #5 (0 pts) | #24 (9 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | 0.5 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.2 / 0.0 | 2.0 / 1.8 |
*Apollon shown at home, Brann shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Apollon — last 5
WDWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 100% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Brann — last 5
DLWWL
On the road: clean sheet 22% of the time; 61% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Apollon (home) | Brann (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | 0-2-2 in 4 (0.5 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 100% | 22% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 61% |
Europa Conference League (Europe) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.97
Home wins: 48%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 57%
BTTS: 52%
Use these Europa Conference League (Europe) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.41 vs 0.04):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (33%) |
| Double chance — Apollon or draw (1X) | 99% |
| Double chance — Brann or draw (X2) | 26% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 43% / 57% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 6% / 94% |
| Apollon clean sheet | 96% |
| Brann clean sheet | 24% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Apollon is the model's most likely outcome at
70%. Apollon are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (70% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Apollon vs Brann — FAQ
Who will win Apollon vs Brann?
Our statistical model makes Apollon the most likely result at 70%. Full probabilities: Apollon 70%, draw 28%, Brann 2%.
Will both teams score in Apollon vs Brann?
The model gives a 17% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Apollon vs Brann?
Expected goals are 1.41 for Apollon and 0.04 for Brann — about 1.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Apollon vs Brann?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (33%). Double chance for Apollon or draw is 99%.