Araz Naxçıvan vs Imisli FK Prediction & Preview
Premyer Liqasi (Azerbaijan) · Aug 14, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PREMYER LIQASI (AZERBAIJAN)
Araz Naxçıvan vs Imisli FK
Model pick: Araz Naxçıvan (46%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.21 – 0.69
Total goals: 1.9
Over 2.5: 39%
Both teams score: 45%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Araz Naxçıvan | Imisli FK |
|---|
| League position | #10 (0 pts) | #7 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.2 | 0.4 / 1.2 |
*Araz Naxçıvan shown at home, Imisli FK shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Araz Naxçıvan — last 5
DLLWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 32% of the time; 34% of home games go over 2.5.
Imisli FK — last 5
LWDLD
On the road: clean sheet 53% of the time; 35% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Araz Naxçıvan (home) | Imisli FK (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 32% | 53% |
| Both teams scored | 43% | 12% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 34% | 35% |
Premyer Liqasi (Azerbaijan) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.5
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 46%
BTTS: 46%
Use these Premyer Liqasi (Azerbaijan) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.21 vs 0.69):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (18%) |
| Double chance — Araz Naxçıvan or draw (1X) | 79% |
| Double chance — Imisli FK or draw (X2) | 51% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 70% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 57% / 43% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 13% / 87% |
| Araz Naxçıvan clean sheet | 50% |
| Imisli FK clean sheet | 30% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Araz Naxçıvan is the model's most likely outcome at
46%. Araz Naxçıvan are backed at home, where they average 1.1 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (61% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Araz Naxçıvan vs Imisli FK — FAQ
Who will win Araz Naxçıvan vs Imisli FK?
Our statistical model makes Araz Naxçıvan the most likely result at 46%. Full probabilities: Araz Naxçıvan 46%, draw 31%, Imisli FK 23%.
Will both teams score in Araz Naxçıvan vs Imisli FK?
The model gives a 45% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Araz Naxçıvan vs Imisli FK?
Expected goals are 1.21 for Araz Naxçıvan and 0.69 for Imisli FK — about 1.9 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Araz Naxçıvan vs Imisli FK?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (18%). Double chance for Araz Naxçıvan or draw is 79%.