Aris vs OFI Prediction & Preview
Super League (Greece) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LEAGUE (GREECE)
Aris vs OFI
Model pick: Aris (52%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.68 – 0.86
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 49%
Both teams score: 49%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Aris | OFI |
|---|
| League position | #5 (3 pts) | #4 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.4 / 2.2 | 2.2 / 1.4 |
*Aris shown at home, OFI shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Aris — last 5
WDLWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 45% of home games go over 2.5.
OFI — last 5
LLWWW
On the road: clean sheet 27% of the time; 56% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Aris (home) | OFI (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 27% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 56% |
| Top scorer | Angelo Sagal (6) | Taxiarchis Fountas (9) |
Super League (Greece) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.41
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 44%
BTTS: 44%
Use these Super League (Greece) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.68 vs 0.86):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (13%) |
| Double chance — Aris or draw (1X) | 81% |
| Double chance — OFI or draw (X2) | 43% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 72% / 28% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 25% / 75% |
| Aris clean sheet | 42% |
| OFI clean sheet | 19% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Aris is the model's most likely outcome at
52%. Aris are backed at home, where they average 1.6 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (51% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Aris vs OFI — FAQ
Who will win Aris vs OFI?
Our statistical model makes Aris the most likely result at 52%. Full probabilities: Aris 52%, draw 26%, OFI 21%.
Will both teams score in Aris vs OFI?
The model gives a 49% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Aris vs OFI?
Expected goals are 1.68 for Aris and 0.86 for OFI — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Aris vs OFI?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (13%). Double chance for Aris or draw is 81%.