Aritma Prague vs Kraluv Dvur Prediction & Preview
Liga 3 (Czech_Republic) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 08:15 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGA 3 (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Aritma Prague vs Kraluv Dvur
Model pick: Kraluv Dvur (61%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.96 – 2.22
Total goals: 3.2
Over 2.5: 57%
Both teams score: 55%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Aritma Prague | Kraluv Dvur |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 0.8 | 2.8 / 2.0 |
*Aritma Prague shown at home, Kraluv Dvur shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Aritma Prague — last 5
WDLDD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 100% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Kraluv Dvur — last 5
LWWWW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Aritma Prague (home) | Kraluv Dvur (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 100% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 100% |
Liga 3 (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.04
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 47%
Use these Liga 3 (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.96 vs 2.22):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-2 (10%) |
| Double chance — Aritma Prague or draw (1X) | 34% |
| Double chance — Kraluv Dvur or draw (X2) | 85% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 81% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 83% / 17% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 39% / 61% |
| Aritma Prague clean sheet | 11% |
| Kraluv Dvur clean sheet | 38% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Kraluv Dvur is the model's most likely outcome at
61%. Despite playing away, Kraluv Dvur edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.2, this shapes as an open game (57% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Aritma Prague vs Kraluv Dvur — FAQ
Who will win Aritma Prague vs Kraluv Dvur?
Our statistical model makes Kraluv Dvur the most likely result at 61%. Full probabilities: Aritma Prague 17%, draw 21%, Kraluv Dvur 61%.
Will both teams score in Aritma Prague vs Kraluv Dvur?
The model gives a 55% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Aritma Prague vs Kraluv Dvur?
Expected goals are 0.96 for Aritma Prague and 2.22 for Kraluv Dvur — about 3.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Aritma Prague vs Kraluv Dvur?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-2 (10%). Double chance for Aritma Prague or draw is 34%.