Arsenal Tula 2 vs Kursk Prediction & Preview
FNL 2 Division B (Russia) · Aug 09, 2026 · kickoff 11:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
FNL 2 DIVISION B (RUSSIA)
Arsenal Tula 2 vs Kursk
Model pick: Kursk (41%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.3 – 1.54
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 53%
Both teams score: 56%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Arsenal Tula 2 | Kursk |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.33 / 3.33 | 1.0 / 2.5 |
*Arsenal Tula 2 shown at home, Kursk shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Arsenal Tula 2 — last 5
LLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Kursk — last 5
LL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Arsenal Tula 2 (home) | Kursk (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 0% |
FNL 2 Division B (Russia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.2
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 67%
BTTS: 60%
Use these FNL 2 Division B (Russia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.3 vs 1.54):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Arsenal Tula 2 or draw (1X) | 57% |
| Double chance — Kursk or draw (X2) | 68% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 78% / 22% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 32% / 68% |
| Arsenal Tula 2 clean sheet | 21% |
| Kursk clean sheet | 27% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Kursk is the model's most likely outcome at
41%. Despite playing away, Kursk edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (47% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Arsenal Tula 2 vs Kursk — FAQ
Who will win Arsenal Tula 2 vs Kursk?
Our statistical model makes Kursk the most likely result at 41%. Full probabilities: Arsenal Tula 2 32%, draw 26%, Kursk 41%.
Will both teams score in Arsenal Tula 2 vs Kursk?
The model gives a 56% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Arsenal Tula 2 vs Kursk?
Expected goals are 1.3 for Arsenal Tula 2 and 1.54 for Kursk — about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Arsenal Tula 2 vs Kursk?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Arsenal Tula 2 or draw is 57%.