Aschaffenburg vs DJK Bamberg Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 28, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Aschaffenburg vs DJK Bamberg
Model pick: Aschaffenburg (69%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.95 – 0.42
Total goals: 2.4
Over 2.5: 46%
Both teams score: 42%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Aschaffenburg | DJK Bamberg |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 0.8 | 1.2 / 2.4 |
*Aschaffenburg shown at home, DJK Bamberg shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Aschaffenburg — last 5
WWLDD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 33% of home games go over 2.5.
DJK Bamberg — last 5
DLLLD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Aschaffenburg (home) | DJK Bamberg (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 67% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.34
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 61%
BTTS: 62%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.95 vs 0.42):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (18%) |
| Double chance — Aschaffenburg or draw (1X) | 93% |
| Double chance — DJK Bamberg or draw (X2) | 26% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 81% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 68% / 32% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 21% / 79% |
| Aschaffenburg clean sheet | 66% |
| DJK Bamberg clean sheet | 14% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Aschaffenburg is the model's most likely outcome at
69%. Aschaffenburg are backed at home, where they average 2.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (54% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Aschaffenburg vs DJK Bamberg — FAQ
Who will win Aschaffenburg vs DJK Bamberg?
Our statistical model makes Aschaffenburg the most likely result at 69%. Full probabilities: Aschaffenburg 69%, draw 21%, DJK Bamberg 9%.
Will both teams score in Aschaffenburg vs DJK Bamberg?
The model gives a 42% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Aschaffenburg vs DJK Bamberg?
Expected goals are 1.95 for Aschaffenburg and 0.42 for DJK Bamberg — about 2.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Aschaffenburg vs DJK Bamberg?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (18%). Double chance for Aschaffenburg or draw is 93%.