Assyriska vs Stocksund Prediction & Preview
Division 1 (Sweden) · Sep 04, 2026 · kickoff 17:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
DIVISION 1 (SWEDEN)
Assyriska vs Stocksund
Model pick: Assyriska (58%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.73 – 0.69
Total goals: 2.4
Over 2.5: 47%
Both teams score: 48%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Assyriska | Stocksund |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 0.4 | 2.0 / 2.2 |
*Assyriska shown at home, Stocksund shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Assyriska — last 5
WWWLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Stocksund — last 5
LWLLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 33% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Assyriska (home) | Stocksund (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 33% |
Division 1 (Sweden) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.08
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 59%
Use these Division 1 (Sweden) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.73 vs 0.69):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (15%) |
| Double chance — Assyriska or draw (1X) | 86% |
| Double chance — Stocksund or draw (X2) | 38% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 70% / 30% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 23% / 77% |
| Assyriska clean sheet | 50% |
| Stocksund clean sheet | 18% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Assyriska is the model's most likely outcome at
58%. Assyriska are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (53% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Assyriska vs Stocksund — FAQ
Who will win Assyriska vs Stocksund?
Our statistical model makes Assyriska the most likely result at 58%. Full probabilities: Assyriska 58%, draw 25%, Stocksund 17%.
Will both teams score in Assyriska vs Stocksund?
The model gives a 48% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Assyriska vs Stocksund?
Expected goals are 1.73 for Assyriska and 0.69 for Stocksund — about 2.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Assyriska vs Stocksund?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (15%). Double chance for Assyriska or draw is 86%.