Astorps vs Kongahalla Prediction & Preview
Division 2 (Sweden) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
DIVISION 2 (SWEDEN)
Astorps vs Kongahalla
Model pick: Kongahalla (60%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.28 – 1.34
Total goals: 1.6
Over 2.5: 34%
Both teams score: 35%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Astorps | Kongahalla |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.67 / 1.33 | 1.67 / 1.33 |
*Astorps shown at home, Kongahalla shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Astorps — last 5
LLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Kongahalla — last 5
DLW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Astorps (home) | Kongahalla (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 100% |
Division 2 (Sweden) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.29
Home wins: 52%
Draws: 18%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 64%
BTTS: 57%
Use these Division 2 (Sweden) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.28 vs 1.34):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (27%) |
| Double chance — Astorps or draw (1X) | 36% |
| Double chance — Kongahalla or draw (X2) | 92% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 72% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 48% / 52% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 8% / 92% |
| Astorps clean sheet | 26% |
| Kongahalla clean sheet | 76% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Kongahalla is the model's most likely outcome at
60%. Despite playing away, Kongahalla edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (66% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Astorps vs Kongahalla — FAQ
Who will win Astorps vs Kongahalla?
Our statistical model makes Kongahalla the most likely result at 60%. Full probabilities: Astorps 10%, draw 30%, Kongahalla 60%.
Will both teams score in Astorps vs Kongahalla?
The model gives a 35% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Astorps vs Kongahalla?
Expected goals are 0.28 for Astorps and 1.34 for Kongahalla — about 1.6 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Astorps vs Kongahalla?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (27%). Double chance for Astorps or draw is 36%.