Astrakhan vs Dynamo Makhachkala 2 Prediction & Preview
FNL 2 Division B (Russia) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
FNL 2 DIVISION B (RUSSIA)
Astrakhan vs Dynamo Makhachkala 2
Model pick: Astrakhan (60%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.85 – 1.56
Total goals: 4.4
Over 2.5: 70%
Both teams score: 64%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Astrakhan | Dynamo Makhachkala 2 |
|---|
| League position | #11 (19 pts) | #15 (13 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 1.5 | 0.8 / 2.2 |
| Win rate this season* | 18% | 9% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 2.0 | 1.4 / 2.0 |
*Astrakhan shown at home, Dynamo Makhachkala 2 shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Astrakhan — last 5
WWDLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 75% of home games go over 2.5.
Dynamo Makhachkala 2 — last 5
LDWLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Astrakhan (home) | Dynamo Makhachkala 2 (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 2-3-6 in 11 (1.0 / 1.5 goals per game) | 1-1-9 in 11 (0.8 / 2.2 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 67% |
FNL 2 Division B (Russia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.03
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 59%
Use these FNL 2 Division B (Russia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.85 vs 1.56):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-1 (8%) |
| Double chance — Astrakhan or draw (1X) | 81% |
| Double chance — Dynamo Makhachkala 2 or draw (X2) | 36% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 83% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 93% / 7% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 64% / 36% |
| Astrakhan clean sheet | 21% |
| Dynamo Makhachkala 2 clean sheet | 6% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Astrakhan is the model's most likely outcome at
60%. Astrakhan are backed at home, where they average 1.8 goals a game. With expected goals of 4.4, this shapes as an open game (70% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Astrakhan vs Dynamo Makhachkala 2 — FAQ
Who will win Astrakhan vs Dynamo Makhachkala 2?
Our statistical model makes Astrakhan the most likely result at 60%. Full probabilities: Astrakhan 60%, draw 19%, Dynamo Makhachkala 2 21%.
Will both teams score in Astrakhan vs Dynamo Makhachkala 2?
The model gives a 64% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Astrakhan vs Dynamo Makhachkala 2?
Expected goals are 2.85 for Astrakhan and 1.56 for Dynamo Makhachkala 2 — about 4.4 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Astrakhan vs Dynamo Makhachkala 2?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-1 (8%). Double chance for Astrakhan or draw is 81%.