Astrakhan vs Rostov 2 Prediction & Preview
FNL 2 Division B (Russia) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
FNL 2 DIVISION B (RUSSIA)
Astrakhan vs Rostov 2
Model pick: Rostov 2 (59%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.0 – 2.12
Total goals: 3.1
Over 2.5: 57%
Both teams score: 55%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Astrakhan | Rostov 2 |
|---|
| League position | #11 (18 pts) | #3 (39 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 1.5 | 2.1 / 1.2 |
| Win rate this season* | 20% | 70% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.2 / 1.8 | 2.4 / 0.6 |
*Astrakhan shown at home, Rostov 2 shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Astrakhan — last 5
LWLWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Rostov 2 — last 5
DWWWD
On the road: clean sheet 33% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Astrakhan (home) | Rostov 2 (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 2-2-6 in 10 (1.0 / 1.5 goals per game) | 7-1-2 in 10 (2.1 / 1.2 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
FNL 2 Division B (Russia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.1
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 62%
BTTS: 62%
Use these FNL 2 Division B (Russia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.0 vs 2.12):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-2 (10%) |
| Double chance — Astrakhan or draw (1X) | 37% |
| Double chance — Rostov 2 or draw (X2) | 83% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 80% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 82% / 18% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 38% / 62% |
| Astrakhan clean sheet | 12% |
| Rostov 2 clean sheet | 37% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Rostov 2 is the model's most likely outcome at
59%. Despite playing away, Rostov 2 edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.1, this shapes as an open game (57% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Astrakhan vs Rostov 2 — FAQ
Who will win Astrakhan vs Rostov 2?
Our statistical model makes Rostov 2 the most likely result at 59%. Full probabilities: Astrakhan 19%, draw 22%, Rostov 2 59%.
Will both teams score in Astrakhan vs Rostov 2?
The model gives a 55% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Astrakhan vs Rostov 2?
Expected goals are 1.0 for Astrakhan and 2.12 for Rostov 2 — about 3.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Astrakhan vs Rostov 2?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-2 (10%). Double chance for Astrakhan or draw is 37%.