Astrio vs Boljan Prediction & Preview
Division 2 (Sweden) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 11:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
DIVISION 2 (SWEDEN)
Astrio vs Boljan
Model pick: Astrio (59%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.83 – 0.75
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 49%
Both teams score: 50%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Astrio | Boljan |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.33 / 3.67 | 0.67 / 1.67 |
*Astrio shown at home, Boljan shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Astrio — last 5
LLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Boljan — last 5
WLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Astrio (home) | Boljan (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
Division 2 (Sweden) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.29
Home wins: 52%
Draws: 18%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 64%
BTTS: 57%
Use these Division 2 (Sweden) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.83 vs 0.75):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (14%) |
| Double chance — Astrio or draw (1X) | 85% |
| Double chance — Boljan or draw (X2) | 37% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 78% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 73% / 27% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 26% / 74% |
| Astrio clean sheet | 47% |
| Boljan clean sheet | 16% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Astrio is the model's most likely outcome at
59%. Astrio are backed at home, where they average 0.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (51% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Astrio vs Boljan — FAQ
Who will win Astrio vs Boljan?
Our statistical model makes Astrio the most likely result at 59%. Full probabilities: Astrio 59%, draw 24%, Boljan 17%.
Will both teams score in Astrio vs Boljan?
The model gives a 50% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Astrio vs Boljan?
Expected goals are 1.83 for Astrio and 0.75 for Boljan — about 2.6 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Astrio vs Boljan?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (14%). Double chance for Astrio or draw is 85%.