Atalanta II vs Monterosi Tuscia Prediction & Preview
Serie C - Group A (Italy) · Aug 30, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SERIE C - GROUP A (ITALY)
Atalanta II vs Monterosi Tuscia
Model pick: Atalanta II (51%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.6 – 0.9
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 48%
Both teams score: 51%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Atalanta II | Monterosi Tuscia |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.8 | 1.6 / 1.4 |
*Atalanta II shown at home, Monterosi Tuscia shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Atalanta II — last 5
DLWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 29% of the time; 48% of home games go over 2.5.
Monterosi Tuscia — last 5
LLLWW
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 48% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Atalanta II (home) | Monterosi Tuscia (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 29% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 49% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 48% |
Serie C - Group A (Italy) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.33
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 41%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Serie C - Group A (Italy) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.6 vs 0.9):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (13%) |
| Double chance — Atalanta II or draw (1X) | 79% |
| Double chance — Monterosi Tuscia or draw (X2) | 46% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 71% / 29% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 24% / 76% |
| Atalanta II clean sheet | 41% |
| Monterosi Tuscia clean sheet | 20% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Atalanta II is the model's most likely outcome at
51%. Atalanta II are backed at home, where they average 1.7 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (52% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Atalanta II vs Monterosi Tuscia — FAQ
Who will win Atalanta II vs Monterosi Tuscia?
Our statistical model makes Atalanta II the most likely result at 51%. Full probabilities: Atalanta II 51%, draw 26%, Monterosi Tuscia 23%.
Will both teams score in Atalanta II vs Monterosi Tuscia?
The model gives a 51% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Atalanta II vs Monterosi Tuscia?
Expected goals are 1.6 for Atalanta II and 0.9 for Monterosi Tuscia — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Atalanta II vs Monterosi Tuscia?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (13%). Double chance for Atalanta II or draw is 79%.