Atl. Tembetary vs Encarnacion FC Prediction & Preview
Division Intermedia (Paraguay) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
DIVISION INTERMEDIA (PARAGUAY)
Atl. Tembetary vs Encarnacion FC
Model pick: Atl. Tembetary (35%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.1 – 1.1
Total goals: 2.2
Over 2.5: 44%
Both teams score: 50%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Atl. Tembetary | Encarnacion FC |
|---|
| League position | #7 (29 pts) | #16 (15 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.5 / 1.5 | 0.8 / 0.9 |
| Win rate this season* | 40% | 30% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 2.4 | 0.6 / 1.0 |
*Atl. Tembetary shown at home, Encarnacion FC shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Atl. Tembetary — last 5
LWLWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 11% of the time; 48% of home games go over 2.5.
Encarnacion FC — last 5
DLLLW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 33% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Atl. Tembetary (home) | Encarnacion FC (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 4-3-3 in 10 (1.5 / 1.5 goals per game) | 3-1-6 in 10 (0.8 / 0.9 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 11% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 63% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 33% |
Division Intermedia (Paraguay) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.55
Home wins: 37%
Draws: 32%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 44%
BTTS: 59%
Use these Division Intermedia (Paraguay) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.1 vs 1.1):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Atl. Tembetary or draw (1X) | 65% |
| Double chance — Encarnacion FC or draw (X2) | 65% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 71% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 65% / 35% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 18% / 82% |
| Atl. Tembetary clean sheet | 33% |
| Encarnacion FC clean sheet | 33% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Atl. Tembetary is the model's most likely outcome at
35%. Atl. Tembetary are backed at home, where they average 1.1 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (56% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Atl. Tembetary vs Encarnacion FC — FAQ
Who will win Atl. Tembetary vs Encarnacion FC?
Our statistical model makes Atl. Tembetary the most likely result at 35%. Full probabilities: Atl. Tembetary 35%, draw 30%, Encarnacion FC 35%.
Will both teams score in Atl. Tembetary vs Encarnacion FC?
The model gives a 50% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Atl. Tembetary vs Encarnacion FC?
Expected goals are 1.1 for Atl. Tembetary and 1.1 for Encarnacion FC — about 2.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Atl. Tembetary vs Encarnacion FC?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Atl. Tembetary or draw is 65%.