Atlantis vs PEPO Prediction & Preview
Kakkonen (Finland) · Sep 03, 2026 · kickoff 15:15 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
KAKKONEN (FINLAND)
Atlantis vs PEPO
Model pick: Atlantis (50%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 3.74 – 3.01
Total goals: 6.8
Over 2.5: 86%
Both teams score: 78%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Atlantis | PEPO |
|---|
| League position | #12 (23 pts) | #2 (37 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.5 / 2.0 | 1.2 / 1.4 |
| Win rate this season* | 36% | 44% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 3.6 / 2.4 | 3.2 / 1.0 |
*Atlantis shown at home, PEPO shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Atlantis — last 5
DWWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
PEPO — last 5
WWWWW
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Atlantis (home) | PEPO (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 4-1-6 in 11 (1.5 / 2.0 goals per game) | 4-2-3 in 9 (1.2 / 1.4 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 50% |
Kakkonen (Finland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.99
Home wins: 57%
Draws: 15%
Away wins: 28%
Over 2.5: 72%
BTTS: 66%
Use these Kakkonen (Finland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (3.74 vs 3.01):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 3-3 (5%) |
| Double chance — Atlantis or draw (1X) | 68% |
| Double chance — PEPO or draw (X2) | 47% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 85% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 99% / 1% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 90% / 10% |
| Atlantis clean sheet | 5% |
| PEPO clean sheet | 2% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Atlantis is the model's most likely outcome at
50%. Atlantis are backed at home, where they average 4.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 6.8, this shapes as an open game (86% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Atlantis vs PEPO — FAQ
Who will win Atlantis vs PEPO?
Our statistical model makes Atlantis the most likely result at 50%. Full probabilities: Atlantis 50%, draw 17%, PEPO 32%.
Will both teams score in Atlantis vs PEPO?
The model gives a 78% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Atlantis vs PEPO?
Expected goals are 3.74 for Atlantis and 3.01 for PEPO — about 6.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Atlantis vs PEPO?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 3-3 (5%). Double chance for Atlantis or draw is 68%.