Aubstadt vs 1860 München Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Germany) · Aug 18, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (GERMANY)
Aubstadt vs 1860 München
Model pick: Aubstadt (88%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 28.36 – 5.96
Total goals: 34.3
Over 2.5: 0%
Both teams score: 1%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Aubstadt | 1860 München |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.5 / 2.0 | 1.8 / 1.6 |
*Aubstadt shown at home, 1860 München shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Aubstadt — last 5
LWWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
1860 München — last 5
LWWDD
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 56% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Aubstadt (home) | 1860 München (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 56% |
Regionalliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.25
Home wins: 36%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 63%
Use these Regionalliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (28.36 vs 5.96):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 8-5 (14%) |
| Double chance — Aubstadt or draw (1X) | 95% |
| Double chance — 1860 München or draw (X2) | 18% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 87% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Aubstadt clean sheet | 0% |
| 1860 München clean sheet | 0% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Aubstadt is the model's most likely outcome at
88%. Aubstadt are backed at home, where they average 3.3 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (100% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Aubstadt vs 1860 München — FAQ
Who will win Aubstadt vs 1860 München?
Our statistical model makes Aubstadt the most likely result at 88%. Full probabilities: Aubstadt 88%, draw 8%, 1860 München 4%.
Will both teams score in Aubstadt vs 1860 München?
The model gives a 1% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Aubstadt vs 1860 München?
Expected goals are 28.36 for Aubstadt and 5.96 for 1860 München — about 34.3 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Aubstadt vs 1860 München?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 8-5 (14%). Double chance for Aubstadt or draw is 95%.