Aubstadt vs Ansbach Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Germany) · Sep 04, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (GERMANY)
Aubstadt vs Ansbach
Model pick: Aubstadt (98%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 6.32 – 0.46
Total goals: 6.8
Over 2.5: 79%
Both teams score: 45%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Aubstadt | Ansbach |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 2.0 | 0.6 / 3.0 |
*Aubstadt shown at home, Ansbach shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Aubstadt — last 5
WDDLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Ansbach — last 5
LLLLL
On the road: clean sheet 20% of the time; 60% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Aubstadt (home) | Ansbach (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 60% |
Regionalliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.26
Home wins: 36%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Regionalliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (6.32 vs 0.46):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 6-0 (12%) |
| Double chance — Aubstadt or draw (1X) | 100% |
| Double chance — Ansbach or draw (X2) | 1% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 99% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 99% / 1% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 88% / 12% |
| Aubstadt clean sheet | 63% |
| Ansbach clean sheet | 0% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Aubstadt is the model's most likely outcome at
98%. Aubstadt are backed at home, where they average 3.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 6.8, this shapes as an open game (79% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Aubstadt vs Ansbach — FAQ
Who will win Aubstadt vs Ansbach?
Our statistical model makes Aubstadt the most likely result at 98%. Full probabilities: Aubstadt 98%, draw 2%, Ansbach 0%.
Will both teams score in Aubstadt vs Ansbach?
The model gives a 45% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Aubstadt vs Ansbach?
Expected goals are 6.32 for Aubstadt and 0.46 for Ansbach — about 6.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Aubstadt vs Ansbach?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 6-0 (12%). Double chance for Aubstadt or draw is 100%.