Aubstadt vs Burghausen Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Germany) · Aug 07, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (GERMANY)
Aubstadt vs Burghausen
Model pick: Draw (64%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.11 – 0.29
Total goals: 0.4
Over 2.5: 6%
Both teams score: 16%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Aubstadt | Burghausen |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.67 / 2.0 | 2.2 / 1.0 |
*Aubstadt shown at home, Burghausen shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Aubstadt — last 5
LWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Burghausen — last 5
WLDWW
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Aubstadt (home) | Burghausen (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 50% |
Regionalliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.35
Home wins: 37%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 38%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Regionalliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.11 vs 0.29):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (67%) |
| Double chance — Aubstadt or draw (1X) | 77% |
| Double chance — Burghausen or draw (X2) | 92% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 31% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 6% / 94% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 0% / 100% |
| Aubstadt clean sheet | 75% |
| Burghausen clean sheet | 90% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
64%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (94% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Aubstadt vs Burghausen — FAQ
Who will win Aubstadt vs Burghausen?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 64%. Full probabilities: Aubstadt 10%, draw 64%, Burghausen 26%.
Will both teams score in Aubstadt vs Burghausen?
The model gives a 16% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Aubstadt vs Burghausen?
Expected goals are 0.11 for Aubstadt and 0.29 for Burghausen — about 0.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Aubstadt vs Burghausen?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (67%). Double chance for Aubstadt or draw is 77%.