Auchinleck Talbot vs Beith Prediction & Preview
Lowland League (Scotland) · Aug 19, 2026 · kickoff 18:45 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LOWLAND LEAGUE (SCOTLAND)
Auchinleck Talbot vs Beith
Model pick: Auchinleck Talbot (89%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.75 – 0.08
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 53%
Both teams score: 24%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Auchinleck Talbot | Beith |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 4.75 / 0.0 | 2.25 / 2.25 |
*Auchinleck Talbot shown at home, Beith shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Auchinleck Talbot — last 5
WWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 100% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Beith — last 5
WDWL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Auchinleck Talbot (home) | Beith (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 100% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 100% |
Lowland League (Scotland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.45
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 19%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 53%
Use these Lowland League (Scotland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.75 vs 0.08):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (22%) |
| Double chance — Auchinleck Talbot or draw (1X) | 99% |
| Double chance — Beith or draw (X2) | 8% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 93% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 77% / 23% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 31% / 69% |
| Auchinleck Talbot clean sheet | 92% |
| Beith clean sheet | 6% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Auchinleck Talbot is the model's most likely outcome at
89%. Auchinleck Talbot are backed at home, where they average 3.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (47% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Auchinleck Talbot vs Beith — FAQ
Who will win Auchinleck Talbot vs Beith?
Our statistical model makes Auchinleck Talbot the most likely result at 89%. Full probabilities: Auchinleck Talbot 89%, draw 10%, Beith 1%.
Will both teams score in Auchinleck Talbot vs Beith?
The model gives a 24% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Auchinleck Talbot vs Beith?
Expected goals are 2.75 for Auchinleck Talbot and 0.08 for Beith — about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Auchinleck Talbot vs Beith?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (22%). Double chance for Auchinleck Talbot or draw is 99%.