Auerbach vs Plauen Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 14, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Auerbach vs Plauen
Model pick: Plauen (61%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.04 – 2.31
Total goals: 3.4
Over 2.5: 59%
Both teams score: 56%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Auerbach | Plauen |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 2.0 | 3.0 / 4.0 |
*Auerbach shown at home, Plauen shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Auerbach — last 5
LL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Plauen — last 5
LW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Auerbach (home) | Plauen (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 0% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.43
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 21%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 64%
BTTS: 62%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.04 vs 2.31):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-2 (10%) |
| Double chance — Auerbach or draw (1X) | 34% |
| Double chance — Plauen or draw (X2) | 84% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 81% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 85% / 15% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 43% / 57% |
| Auerbach clean sheet | 10% |
| Plauen clean sheet | 35% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Plauen is the model's most likely outcome at
61%. Despite playing away, Plauen edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.4, this shapes as an open game (59% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Auerbach vs Plauen — FAQ
Who will win Auerbach vs Plauen?
Our statistical model makes Plauen the most likely result at 61%. Full probabilities: Auerbach 18%, draw 21%, Plauen 61%.
Will both teams score in Auerbach vs Plauen?
The model gives a 56% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Auerbach vs Plauen?
Expected goals are 1.04 for Auerbach and 2.31 for Plauen — about 3.4 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Auerbach vs Plauen?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-2 (10%). Double chance for Auerbach or draw is 34%.