Augsburg II vs Eltersdorf Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Germany) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (GERMANY)
Augsburg II vs Eltersdorf
Model pick: Augsburg II (58%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.4 – 1.27
Total goals: 3.7
Over 2.5: 63%
Both teams score: 60%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Augsburg II | Eltersdorf |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 1.8 | 1.0 / 0.8 |
*Augsburg II shown at home, Eltersdorf shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Augsburg II — last 5
LWDWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 75% of home games go over 2.5.
Eltersdorf — last 5
WLDDW
On the road: clean sheet 67% of the time; 33% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Augsburg II (home) | Eltersdorf (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 33% |
Regionalliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.24
Home wins: 36%
Draws: 29%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 64%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Regionalliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.4 vs 1.27):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-1 (9%) |
| Double chance — Augsburg II or draw (1X) | 81% |
| Double chance — Eltersdorf or draw (X2) | 38% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 81% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 88% / 12% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 50% / 50% |
| Augsburg II clean sheet | 28% |
| Eltersdorf clean sheet | 9% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Augsburg II is the model's most likely outcome at
58%. Augsburg II are backed at home, where they average 2.2 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.7, this shapes as an open game (63% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Augsburg II vs Eltersdorf — FAQ
Who will win Augsburg II vs Eltersdorf?
Our statistical model makes Augsburg II the most likely result at 58%. Full probabilities: Augsburg II 58%, draw 21%, Eltersdorf 21%.
Will both teams score in Augsburg II vs Eltersdorf?
The model gives a 60% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Augsburg II vs Eltersdorf?
Expected goals are 2.4 for Augsburg II and 1.27 for Eltersdorf — about 3.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Augsburg II vs Eltersdorf?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-1 (9%). Double chance for Augsburg II or draw is 81%.