Augsburg II vs Vilzing Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Germany) · Aug 14, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (GERMANY)
Augsburg II vs Vilzing
Model pick: Vilzing (60%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.64 – 1.77
Total goals: 2.4
Over 2.5: 47%
Both teams score: 47%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Augsburg II | Vilzing |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 2.0 | 1.8 / 1.0 |
*Augsburg II shown at home, Vilzing shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Augsburg II — last 5
LDLWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
Vilzing — last 5
LWWWW
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Augsburg II (home) | Vilzing (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 50% |
Regionalliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.36
Home wins: 37%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 65%
BTTS: 63%
Use these Regionalliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.64 vs 1.77):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (16%) |
| Double chance — Augsburg II or draw (1X) | 35% |
| Double chance — Vilzing or draw (X2) | 87% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 78% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 69% / 31% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 22% / 78% |
| Augsburg II clean sheet | 17% |
| Vilzing clean sheet | 53% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Vilzing is the model's most likely outcome at
60%. Despite playing away, Vilzing edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (53% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Augsburg II vs Vilzing — FAQ
Who will win Augsburg II vs Vilzing?
Our statistical model makes Vilzing the most likely result at 60%. Full probabilities: Augsburg II 15%, draw 24%, Vilzing 60%.
Will both teams score in Augsburg II vs Vilzing?
The model gives a 47% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Augsburg II vs Vilzing?
Expected goals are 0.64 for Augsburg II and 1.77 for Vilzing — about 2.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Augsburg II vs Vilzing?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (16%). Double chance for Augsburg II or draw is 35%.