Aumund-Vegesack vs BTS Neustadt Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 12, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Aumund-Vegesack vs BTS Neustadt
Model pick: BTS Neustadt (55%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.46 – 1.34
Total goals: 1.8
Over 2.5: 37%
Both teams score: 41%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Aumund-Vegesack | BTS Neustadt |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.0 / 1.0 | 2.0 / 4.0 |
*Aumund-Vegesack shown at home, BTS Neustadt shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Aumund-Vegesack — last 5
L
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
BTS Neustadt — last 5
L
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Aumund-Vegesack (home) | BTS Neustadt (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.43
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 21%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 64%
BTTS: 62%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.46 vs 1.34):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (22%) |
| Double chance — Aumund-Vegesack or draw (1X) | 41% |
| Double chance — BTS Neustadt or draw (X2) | 87% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 72% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 54% / 46% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 11% / 89% |
| Aumund-Vegesack clean sheet | 26% |
| BTS Neustadt clean sheet | 63% |
🎯 Our Verdict
BTS Neustadt is the model's most likely outcome at
55%. Despite playing away, BTS Neustadt edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (63% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Aumund-Vegesack vs BTS Neustadt — FAQ
Who will win Aumund-Vegesack vs BTS Neustadt?
Our statistical model makes BTS Neustadt the most likely result at 55%. Full probabilities: Aumund-Vegesack 15%, draw 30%, BTS Neustadt 55%.
Will both teams score in Aumund-Vegesack vs BTS Neustadt?
The model gives a 41% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Aumund-Vegesack vs BTS Neustadt?
Expected goals are 0.46 for Aumund-Vegesack and 1.34 for BTS Neustadt — about 1.8 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Aumund-Vegesack vs BTS Neustadt?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (22%). Double chance for Aumund-Vegesack or draw is 41%.