Austria Wien II vs A. Salzburg Prediction & Preview
1-Liga (Austria) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 16:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
1-LIGA (AUSTRIA)
Austria Wien II vs A. Salzburg
Model pick: A. Salzburg (44%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.04 – 1.45
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 48%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Austria Wien II | A. Salzburg |
|---|
| League position | #10 (3 pts) | #2 (6 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.0 / 3.0 | 2.0 / 0.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 100% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 1.4 | 3.4 / 1.0 |
*Austria Wien II shown at home, A. Salzburg shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Austria Wien II — last 5
LWWLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 18% of the time; 61% of home games go over 2.5.
A. Salzburg — last 5
WDWWW
On the road: clean sheet 32% of the time; 47% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Austria Wien II (home) | A. Salzburg (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-0-1 in 1 (0.0 / 3.0 goals per game) | 1-0-0 in 1 (2.0 / 0.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 18% | 32% |
| Both teams scored | 64% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 47% |
1-Liga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.99
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 56%
Use these 1-Liga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.04 vs 1.45):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Austria Wien II or draw (1X) | 53% |
| Double chance — A. Salzburg or draw (X2) | 73% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 71% / 29% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 24% / 76% |
| Austria Wien II clean sheet | 23% |
| A. Salzburg clean sheet | 35% |
🎯 Our Verdict
A. Salzburg is the model's most likely outcome at
44%. Despite playing away, A. Salzburg edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (52% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Austria Wien II vs A. Salzburg — FAQ
Who will win Austria Wien II vs A. Salzburg?
Our statistical model makes A. Salzburg the most likely result at 44%. Full probabilities: Austria Wien II 28%, draw 27%, A. Salzburg 44%.
Will both teams score in Austria Wien II vs A. Salzburg?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Austria Wien II vs A. Salzburg?
Expected goals are 1.04 for Austria Wien II and 1.45 for A. Salzburg — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Austria Wien II vs A. Salzburg?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Austria Wien II or draw is 53%.