Austria Wien II vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz Prediction & Preview
1-Liga (Austria) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 16:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
1-LIGA (AUSTRIA)
Austria Wien II vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
Model pick: Austria Wien II (44%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.76 – 1.42
Total goals: 3.2
Over 2.5: 57%
Both teams score: 58%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Austria Wien II | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz |
|---|
| League position | #9 (6 pts) | #7 (7 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.5 / 2.0 | 0.0 / 2.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 50% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 1.6 | 2.2 / 1.6 |
*Austria Wien II shown at home, Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Austria Wien II — last 5
WLWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 18% of the time; 61% of home games go over 2.5.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz — last 5
WLWDW
On the road: clean sheet 12% of the time; 71% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Austria Wien II (home) | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-1 in 2 (1.5 / 2.0 goals per game) | 0-1-1 in 2 (0.0 / 2.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 18% | 12% |
| Both teams scored | 65% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 71% |
1-Liga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.98
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 56%
Use these 1-Liga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.76 vs 1.42):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — Austria Wien II or draw (1X) | 69% |
| Double chance — Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz or draw (X2) | 54% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 83% / 17% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 39% / 61% |
| Austria Wien II clean sheet | 24% |
| Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz clean sheet | 17% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Austria Wien II is the model's most likely outcome at
44%. Austria Wien II are backed at home, where they average 1.6 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.2, this shapes as an open game (57% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Austria Wien II vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz — FAQ
Who will win Austria Wien II vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz?
Our statistical model makes Austria Wien II the most likely result at 44%. Full probabilities: Austria Wien II 44%, draw 25%, Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz 32%.
Will both teams score in Austria Wien II vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz?
The model gives a 58% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Austria Wien II vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz?
Expected goals are 1.76 for Austria Wien II and 1.42 for Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz — about 3.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Austria Wien II vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (10%). Double chance for Austria Wien II or draw is 69%.