Austria Wien vs Beitar Jerusalem Prediction & Preview
Europa Conference League (Europe) · Aug 13, 2026 · kickoff 18:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE (EUROPE)
Austria Wien vs Beitar Jerusalem
Model pick: Austria Wien (73%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.7 – 0.74
Total goals: 3.4
Over 2.5: 60%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Austria Wien | Beitar Jerusalem |
|---|
| League position | #12 (0 pts) | #1 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.4 / 1.0 | 1.6 / 1.6 |
*Austria Wien shown at home, Beitar Jerusalem shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Austria Wien — last 5
WWWLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 31% of the time; 60% of home games go over 2.5.
Beitar Jerusalem — last 5
WLWDL
On the road: clean sheet 33% of the time; 59% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Austria Wien (home) | Beitar Jerusalem (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 31% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 59% |
Europa Conference League (Europe) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.94
Home wins: 49%
Draws: 21%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 50%
Use these Europa Conference League (Europe) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.7 vs 0.74):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (12%) |
| Double chance — Austria Wien or draw (1X) | 92% |
| Double chance — Beitar Jerusalem or draw (X2) | 21% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 86% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 86% / 14% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 45% / 55% |
| Austria Wien clean sheet | 48% |
| Beitar Jerusalem clean sheet | 7% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Austria Wien is the model's most likely outcome at
73%. Austria Wien are backed at home, where they average 1.6 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.4, this shapes as an open game (60% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Austria Wien vs Beitar Jerusalem — FAQ
Who will win Austria Wien vs Beitar Jerusalem?
Our statistical model makes Austria Wien the most likely result at 73%. Full probabilities: Austria Wien 73%, draw 16%, Beitar Jerusalem 10%.
Will both teams score in Austria Wien vs Beitar Jerusalem?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Austria Wien vs Beitar Jerusalem?
Expected goals are 2.7 for Austria Wien and 0.74 for Beitar Jerusalem — about 3.4 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Austria Wien vs Beitar Jerusalem?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (12%). Double chance for Austria Wien or draw is 92%.